Title | Improving risk prediction for depression via Elastic Net regression - Results from Korea National Health Insurance Services Data. |
Publication Type | Journal Article |
Year of Publication | 2016 |
Authors | Kim M-H, Banerjee S, Park SMin, Pathak J |
Journal | AMIA Annu Symp Proc |
Volume | 2016 |
Pagination | 1860-1869 |
Date Published | 2016 |
ISSN | 1942-597X |
Keywords | Adult, Area Under Curve, Comorbidity, Depression, Female, Humans, Logistic Models, Male, Middle Aged, National Health Programs, Prevalence, Republic of Korea, Risk, ROC Curve |
Abstract | Depression, despite its high prevalence, remains severely under-diagnosed across the healthcare system. This demands the development of data-driven approaches that can help screen patients who are at a high risk of depression. In this work, we develop depression risk prediction models that incorporate disease co-morbidities using logistic regression with Elastic Net. Using data from the one million twelve-year longitudinal cohort from Korean National Health Insurance Services (KNHIS), our model achieved an Area Under the Curve (AUC) of the Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) of 0.7818, compared to a traditional logistic regression model without co-morbidity analysis (AUC of 0.6992). We also showed co-morbidity adjusted Odds Ratios (ORs), which may be more accurate independent estimate of each predictor variable. In conclusion, inclusion of co-morbidity analysis improved the performance of depression risk prediction models. |
Alternate Journal | AMIA Annu Symp Proc |
PubMed ID | 28269945 |
PubMed Central ID | PMC5333336 |
Grant List | R01 GM105688 / GM / NIGMS NIH HHS / United States R01 MH105384 / MH / NIMH NIH HHS / United States UL1 TR000457 / TR / NCATS NIH HHS / United States UL1 TR002384 / TR / NCATS NIH HHS / United States |